Shot-shy
5/10Tigres UANL failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 16)
Wasteful
Tigres UANL are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−7goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul score prediction
Liga MX
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.9 goals in total, in line with the Liga MX average of 2.9.
goals expected
Tigres UANL1.4
Cruz Azul1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul will be played on Saturday, November 7 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 16 of the Liga MX, played in Mexico. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Tigres UANL–
Cruz Azul–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Tigres UANL–Cruz Azul–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
140%
X26%
233%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
132%
X41%
227%
1st Score
154%
X7%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
18%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: the stats that stand out
Liga MX
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Tigres UANL: shot-shy · Cruz Azul: fast starters and banker as favourites
5/10Fast starters
7/10Cruz Azul scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Banker as favourites
5/7Cruz Azul won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 50%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: attack vs defence
Liga MX
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga MX teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Tigres UANL: weak attack, weak defence (1.52 xG, 1.77 xGA a game)
- Cruz Azul: good attack, good defence (1.99 xG, 1.42 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul form and luck check
Liga MX
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga MX gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Tigres UANLWasteful · −7 goals−1.7
- Cruz AzulClinical · +4 goals+1.4
Last 5 matches
Cruz AzulW
W
W
D
D
Tigres UANLL
D
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Tigres UANL 6th of 18 · Cruz Azul 2nd of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga MX
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga MX gamesBTTS = both teams scoredTigres UANL games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Liga MX average (54%), Cruz Azul games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Tigres UANL2 of 10
Cruz Azul7 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Tigres UANL4 of 10
Cruz Azul6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 330 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul corners, cards and goal times
Liga MX
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 2.2
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Tigres UANL2/5
Cruz Azul2/5
Both Teams to Score
Tigres UANL4/5
Cruz Azul4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Tigres UANL1/5
Cruz Azul5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Tigres UANL4/5
Cruz Azul1/5
First Half Result
Tigres UANL1/5
Cruz Azul2/5
Correct Score
Tigres UANL2/5
Cruz Azul0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction