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Tijuana vs América 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2025/2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
TijuanaTijuana

0–0

AméricaAmérica
0.7Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Tijuana would usually take 1.6 points and América 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: América.

Tijuana −0.6 pts vs chancesAmérica 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tijuana vs América stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Tijuana

América

2

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

0

1

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

2

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Tijuana and América ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an América win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlas – América prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Tijuana vs América — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

América to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,451 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,550 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,641 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Tijuana Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tijuana 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

América Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

América 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tijuana vs América 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tijuana vs América. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga MX - Mexico
TijuanaTijuana0
AméricaAmérica0

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

134%
X26%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Tijuana32%69%65%35%
América27%73%60%40%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Tijuana87%13%96%4%
América83%17%94%6%

1st Half

129%
X40%
231%

1st Score

144%
X7%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

21%

X-X

15%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

0-1

9.3%

1-2

8.7%

1-0

8.5%

2-1

7.9%

0-0

6.9%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

5.7%

2-0

5.3%

1-3

4.0%

3-1

3.4%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlas – América prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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