Puebla vs Toluca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Puebla vs Toluca — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 7 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
42.3% implied
Toluca50%3/6+18.2%Strongly above implied probability
Puebla50%3/6+18.2%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Toluca50%3/6-8.1%Near implied probabilityPuebla50%3/6-8.1%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Toluca66.7%4/6+23.7%Strongly above implied probabilityPuebla33.3%2/6-38.2%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.4% implied
Toluca66.7%4/6+10.4%Strongly above implied probabilityPuebla66.7%4/6+10.4%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Toluca83.3%5/6+121%Strongly above implied probabilityPuebla33.3%2/6-11.7%Below implied probabilityToluca0/6Puebla1/6Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Puebla and Toluca across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Toluca hit at 83% accuracy — that's 121% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Puebla sit 38.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Puebla vs Toluca — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Puebla vs Toluca. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Puebla–
Toluca–Winner
2 54%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Puebla–Toluca–Winner
2 54%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44% | 56% | 77% | 23% |
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
X-2
21%
X-X
14%
1-1
9%
X-1
7%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
11.5%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Puebla vs Toluca — Prediction Form & Streaks
Toluca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Puebla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Toluca well in the First Half Result market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
TolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaPuebla & Toluca Teams in Best Form
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