Puebla vs Toluca 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Puebla vs Toluca — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 7 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
42.9% implied
Toluca55.6%5/9+29.6%Strongly above implied probability
Puebla44.4%4/9+3.5%Above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Toluca55.6%5/9+2%Above implied probabilityPuebla55.6%5/9+2%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Toluca77.8%7/9+44.3%Strongly above implied probabilityPuebla44.4%4/9-17.6%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.1% implied
Toluca55.6%5/9-5.9%Near implied probabilityPuebla77.8%7/9+31.6%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Toluca88.9%8/9+136.4%Strongly above implied probabilityPuebla44.4%4/9+18.1%Strongly above implied probabilityToluca1/9Puebla3/9Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Puebla and Toluca across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Toluca hit at 89% accuracy — that's 136.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Puebla sit 17.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Puebla vs Toluca 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Puebla vs Toluca. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Puebla0
Toluca1Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Puebla0Toluca1Winner
2 55%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45% | 55% | 78% | 22% |
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
X-2
21%
X-X
15%
1-1
9%
X-1
7%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Puebla vs Toluca — Prediction Form & Streaks
Toluca have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Puebla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Toluca well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
TolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaTolucaPueblaPuebla & Toluca Teams in Best Form
TolucaPuebla