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Juárez vs Pachuca 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
JuárezJuárez

0–2

PachucaPachuca
0.8Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Juárez would usually take 1.0 points and Pachuca 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Pachuca.

Juárez −1.0 pts vs chancesPachuca +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Juárez vs Pachuca stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pachuca had more than twice the shots on target

Juárez

Pachuca

1

Shots on target

4

1

Big chances

3

1

Corners

3

6

Yellow cards

4

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Juárez and Pachuca ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Pachuca win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pachuca – Tigres UANL prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Juárez vs Pachuca — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pachuca to win

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,330 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,997 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Juárez Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juárez 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Pachuca Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pachuca 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Juárez vs Pachuca 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Juárez vs Pachuca. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga MX - Mexico
JuárezJuárez0
PachucaPachuca2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

132%
X26%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Juárez31%69%64%36%
Pachuca25%75%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Juárez86%14%95%5%
Pachuca80%20%92%8%

1st Half

126%
X43%
231%

1st Score

142%
X6%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

X-X

17%

1-1

16%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

1-2

9.1%

0-1

8.3%

2-1

7.3%

1-0

7.3%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

6.4%

0-0

6.2%

2-0

4.8%

1-3

4.4%

3-1

3.3%

2-3

3.2%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pachuca – Tigres UANL prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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