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Atlas vs Atlante 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
AtlasAtlas

1–1

AtlanteAtlante
1.4Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Atlas would usually take 1.5 points and Atlante 1.2; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlas.

Atlas −0.5 pts vs chancesAtlante −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlas vs Atlante stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlas had clearly more shots on target

Atlas

Atlante

3

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

4

3

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

3

64%

Possession

36%

The match between Atlas and Atlante ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Atlas win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Guadalajara – Atlante prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Atlas vs Atlante — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlas to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 2,089 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.8% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,714 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,865 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,971 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Atlas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlas 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Atlante Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlante 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,659 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlas vs Atlante 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlas vs Atlante. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga MX - Mexico
AtlasAtlas1
AtlanteAtlante1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

140%
X26%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlas26%74%58%42%
Atlante31%69%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlas82%18%94%6%
Atlante86%14%95%5%

1st Half

128%
X42%
230%

1st Score

146%
X7%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

1-1

19%

X-X

17%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

8.8%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

8.1%

0-1

7.8%

0-0

6.7%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

6.2%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

4.2%

1-3

3.4%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Guadalajara – Atlante prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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