Pumas UNAM vs León 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Pumas UNAM3–1
LeónOn these chances Pumas UNAM would usually take 1.3 points and León 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Pumas UNAM.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Pumas UNAM vs León stats: how the match was played
Liga MX
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Pumas UNAM
León
5
Shots on target
4
2
Big chances
3
8
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
Pumas UNAM vs León — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Pumas UNAM to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,641 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,759 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,696 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Pumas UNAM 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
León 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,326 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Pumas UNAM vs León 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pumas UNAM vs León. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Pumas UNAM3
León1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Pumas UNAM3León1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
| 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-1
16%
X-X
16%
2-2
15%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score