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Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
Cruz AzulCruz Azul

1–0

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
2.2Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Cruz Azul would usually take 2.3 points and Santos Laguna 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Cruz Azul.

Cruz Azul +0.7 pts vs chancesSantos Laguna −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Cruz Azul had more than twice the shots on target

Cruz Azul

Santos Laguna

8

Shots on target

1

0

Big chances

0

8

Corners

5

0

Yellow cards

1

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Cruz Azul win with 64% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Santos Laguna – Necaxa prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cruz Azul to win

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,072 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,120 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,186 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,997 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cruz Azul ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Cruz Azul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cruz Azul 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Santos Laguna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Santos Laguna 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,492 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga MX - Mexico
Cruz AzulCruz Azul1
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna0

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

164%
X21%
215%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Cruz Azul15%85%42%58%
Santos Laguna52%48%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Cruz Azul69%31%86%14%
Santos Laguna94%6%98%2%

1st Half

145%
X38%
217%

1st Score

163%
X7%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

21%

X-X

13%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.3%

2-0

11.6%

2-1

9.9%

1-1

9.3%

3-0

7.5%

0-0

6.8%

3-1

6.1%

0-1

4.6%

1-2

4.2%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Santos Laguna – Necaxa prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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