León vs Atlético San Luis 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
León2–0
Atlético San LuisOn these chances León would usually take 2.1 points and Atlético San Luis 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: León.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →León vs Atlético San Luis stats: how the match was played
Liga MX
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
León had more than twice the shots on target
León
Atlético San Luis
9
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
1
6
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
2
41%
Possession
59%
León vs Atlético San Luis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
León to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: León ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
León 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético San Luis 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
León vs Atlético San Luis 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for León vs Atlético San Luis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
León2
Atlético San Luis0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
León2Atlético San Luis0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 48% | 52% |
| 34% | 66% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-X
14%
X-2
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score