Slow starters
1/10Vitória SC scored first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 47%).
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Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Portugal - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Unlucky
Vitória SC are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−13points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC score prediction
Liga Portugal
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Liga Portugal average of 2.7.
goals expected
Gil Vicente1.4Vitória SC1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC will be played on Monday, November 2 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 10 of the Liga Portugal, played in Portugal. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Gil Vicente–
Vitória SC–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Gil Vicente–Vitória SC–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
151%
X25%
224%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 53% | 47% |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
137%
X42%
221%
1st Score
156%
X7%
236%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC: the stats that stand out
Liga Portugal
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Vitória SC: slow starters, shot-shy and flop as favourites
1/10Shot-shy
6/10Vitória SC failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Flop as favourites
1/6Vitória SC won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 56%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC: attack vs defence
Liga Portugal
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga Portugal teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Gil Vicente: good attack, good defence (1.47 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
- Vitória SC: good attack, good defence (1.62 xG, 0.97 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC form and luck check
Liga Portugal
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Portugal gamesVitória SC are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Gil VicenteWasteful · −5 goals−0.8
- Vitória SCWasteful · −12 goals−12.9
Last 5 matches
Gil VicenteW
W
D
L
L
Vitória SCL
D
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Gil Vicente 5th of 18 · Vitória SC 8th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga Portugal
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Portugal gamesBTTS = both teams scoredGil Vicente and Vitória SC games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Liga Portugal average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Gil Vicente4 of 10
Vitória SC2 of 10
BTTSleague 50%
Gil Vicente4 of 10
Vitória SC3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 306 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC corners, cards and goal times
Liga Portugal
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Liga Portugal average
Gil Vicente
Vitória SC
3.3
Corners won · league 4.7
5.8
4.6
Corners conceded · league 4.7
3.7
2.0
Cards · league 2.4
2.7
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.5
44%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
20%
22%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
20%
42%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
31%
42%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
31%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Gil Vicente2/5
Vitória SC3/5
Both Teams to Score
Gil Vicente2/5
Vitória SC4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Gil Vicente4/5
Vitória SC2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Gil Vicente4/5
Vitória SC5/5
First Half Result
Gil Vicente1/5
Vitória SC4/5
Correct Score
Gil Vicente1/5
Vitória SC2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction