Always on the scoresheet
0/10Paris Saint Germain scored in all of their last 10 (league 27% fail to score).
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Unlucky
Le Havre are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Le Havre 8% to winParis Saint Germain 77%
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain score prediction
Ligue 1
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Paris Saint Germain expected to score more than twice as many as Le Havre
3.0 goals in total, a little over the Ligue 1 average of 2.8.
goals expected
Le Havre0.9Paris Saint Germain2.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain to win
Our model 65%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 618 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.6% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 3,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 127 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Le Havre Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Le Havre 0–1 goals
Our model 81%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 390 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).
Paris Saint Germain Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain 2+ goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Le Havre–
Paris Saint Germain–Winner
2 65%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Le Havre–Paris Saint Germain–Winner
2 65%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
115%
X20%
265%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53% | 47% | 81% | 19% |
| 15% | 85% | 41% | 59% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 67% | 33% | 85% | 15% |
1st Half
118%
X35%
247%
1st Score
128%
X7%
266%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
42%
X-2
18%
X-X
11%
1-1
9%
X-1
6%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.2%
0-3
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: the stats that stand out
Ligue 1
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Paris Saint Germain: always on the scoresheet · Le Havre: slow starters
0/10Slow starters
2/10Le Havre scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: attack vs defence
Ligue 1
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 1 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Le Havre: weak attack, weak defence (1.34 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
- Paris Saint Germain: good attack, good defence (2.09 xG, 1.43 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain form and luck check
Ligue 1
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 1 gamesLe Havre are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Le HavreBookmakers: 8% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−4.7
- Paris Saint GermainBookmakers: 77% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−1.0
Last 5 matches
Paris Saint GermainW
W
W
W
L
Le HavreL
L
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Le Havre 15th of 18 · Paris Saint Germain 1st of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 1
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 1 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredLe Havre games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Ligue 1 average (55%), Paris Saint Germain games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Le Havre3 of 10
Paris Saint Germain7 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Le Havre5 of 10
Paris Saint Germain7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 297 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 1
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameParis Saint Germain score late
Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
4.9
Corners won · league 4.8
5.9
5.3
Corners conceded · league 4.8
2.4
2.1
Cards · league 1.9
0.9
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.9
25%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
22%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
44%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
36%
23%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Paris Saint Germain4/5
Le Havre2/5
Both Teams to Score
Paris Saint Germain3/5
Le Havre3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Paris Saint Germain4/5
Le Havre2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Paris Saint Germain3/5
Le Havre3/5
First Half Result
Paris Saint Germain3/5
Le Havre2/5
Correct Score
Paris Saint Germain1/5
Le Havre1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction