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LOSC Lille vs Lens

Lille vs Lens 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Lille

1–0

Lens

2.0Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Lille would usually take 2.3 points and Lens 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Lille.

Lille +0.7 pts vs chancesLens −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lille vs Lens stats: how the match was played

Ligue 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lille had more than twice the shots on target

Lille

Lens

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Lille and Lens ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Lens win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lens – Olympique Marseille prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).

Lille vs Lens — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lens to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Lille to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,515 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.6% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,787 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,880 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 1,978 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Lille Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lille 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Lens Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lens 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,598 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lille vs Lens 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lille vs Lens. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligue 1 - France

Lille1

Lens0

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

Ligue 1 - France

Lille1

Lens0

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

135%

X26%

240%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	58%	42%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	31%	69%	63%	37%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	27%	73%	58%	42%	82%	18%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	63%	37%
	27%	73%	58%	42%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	82%	18%	93%	7%

1st Half

131%

X40%

229%

1st Score

149%

X6%

245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

21%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

0-1

8.7%

1-2

8.6%

2-1

8.2%

1-0

8.0%

0-0

6.3%

0-2

6.2%

2-2

6.2%

2-0

5.0%

1-3

4.1%

3-1

3.6%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Lille vs Lens — Recent Form

Lille have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Lens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Lille

Lens

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Lens

4/5

Lille

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Lens

4/5

Lille

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Lens

4/5

Lille

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Lens

4/5

Lille

5/5

First Half Result

Lens

1/5

Lille

1/5

Correct Score

Lens

0/5

Lille

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lens – Olympique Marseille prediction & betting tips (Nov 8, 2026).