Leaky
0/8Le Mans kept no clean sheet in their last 8 (league 28%).
Le Mans vs Monaco Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Le Mans vs Monaco
3.1goals expected · Ligue 1 average 2.8
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 61%
Le Mans vs Monaco score prediction
Ligue 1
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Ligue 1 game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Le Mans1.4
Monaco1.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Le Mans vs Monaco: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Le Mans vs Monaco — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Monaco to win
Our model 47%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 6,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 4,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 2,266 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Le Mans Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Le Mans 0–1 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 1,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Monaco Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Monaco 0–1 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 839 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Le Mans vs Monaco — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Le Mans vs Monaco. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Le Mans–
Monaco–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Le Mans–Monaco–Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
127%
X26%
247%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 40% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
125%
X41%
233%
1st Score
138%
X7%
255%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-X
15%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Le Mans vs Monaco: the stats that stand out
Ligue 1
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Le Mans: leaky and always on the scoresheet
0/8Always on the scoresheet
1/8Le Mans failed to score in only 1 of their last 8 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Le Mans vs Monaco: attack vs defence
Ligue 1
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 1 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Le Mans: weak attack, weak defence (1.26 xG, 1.90 xGA a game)
- Monaco: weak attack, good defence (1.34 xG, 1.33 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Le Mans vs Monaco form and luck check
Ligue 1
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 1 gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Le MansBookmakers: 22% to win today. · 8 of 10 games0.0
- MonacoBookmakers: 54% to win today.+0.5
Last 5 matches
MonacoD
L
D
W
D
Le MansD
L
L
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Le Mans 17th of 18 · Monaco 6th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Le Mans vs Monaco: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 1
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Ligue 1 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Le Mans and Monaco games more often than the Ligue 1 average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Le Mans6 of 8
Monaco4 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Le Mans7 of 8
Monaco6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 287 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Le Mans vs Monaco corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 1
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Le Mans2/5
Monaco1/5
Both Teams to Score
Le Mans3/5
Monaco4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Le Mans1/5
Monaco2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Le Mans3/5
Monaco4/5
First Half Result
Le Mans3/5
Monaco2/5
Correct Score
Le Mans1/5
Monaco2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction