Leaky
0/10Brest kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Unlucky
Brest are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Brest 33% to winOlympique Lyonnais 41%
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais score prediction
Ligue 1
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, in line with the Ligue 1 average of 2.8.
goals expected
Brest1.4
Olympique Lyonnais1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Brest to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 33%
Our track record
In 1,068 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,698 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 4,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 39%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 1,977 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Brest Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Brest 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Olympique Lyonnais Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,296 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Brest–
Olympique Lyonnais–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Brest–Olympique Lyonnais–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
143%
X26%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 34% | 66% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
137%
X39%
224%
1st Score
155%
X7%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
16%
X-X
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais: the stats that stand out
Ligue 1
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Brest: leaky, fast starters and always on the scoresheet
0/10Fast starters
7/10Brest scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Brest failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais: attack vs defence
Ligue 1
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ligue 1 teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Brest: good attack, good defence (2.07 xG, 1.23 xGA a game)
- Olympique Lyonnais: weak attack, good defence (1.35 xG, 1.38 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais form and luck check
Ligue 1
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligue 1 gamesBrest are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- BrestBookmakers: 33% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−8.3
- Olympique LyonnaisBookmakers: 41% to win today.0.0
Last 5 matches
Olympique LyonnaisL
W
L
W
D
BrestL
D
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Brest 11th of 18 · Olympique Lyonnais 7th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ligue 1
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligue 1 gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Brest games more often than the Ligue 1 average (53%), in Olympique Lyonnais games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Brest7 of 10
Olympique Lyonnais6 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Brest9 of 10
Olympique Lyonnais5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 287 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais corners, cards and goal times
Ligue 1
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 24%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Olympique Lyonnais4/5
Brest3/5
Both Teams to Score
Olympique Lyonnais2/5
Brest4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Olympique Lyonnais4/5
Brest2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Olympique Lyonnais4/5
Brest4/5
First Half Result
Olympique Lyonnais3/5
Brest1/5
Correct Score
Olympique Lyonnais0/5
Brest1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction