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Toulouse vs Auxerre 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 1 - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)

Fair result
ToulouseToulouse

0–0

AuxerreAuxerre
1.2Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Toulouse would usually take 1.6 points and Auxerre 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Toulouse.

Toulouse −0.6 pts vs chancesAuxerre −0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Toulouse vs Auxerre stats: how the match was played

Ligue 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Toulouse had more than twice the shots on target

Toulouse

Auxerre

4

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

2

5

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

2

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Toulouse and Auxerre ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Toulouse win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Toulouse – Troyes prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Toulouse vs Auxerre — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Toulouse to win

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,114 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,835 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,548 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,645 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Toulouse Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Toulouse 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Auxerre Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Auxerre 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 2,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Toulouse vs Auxerre 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Toulouse vs Auxerre. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 1 - France
ToulouseToulouse0
AuxerreAuxerre0

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

152%
X25%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Toulouse20%80%52%48%
Auxerre41%59%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Toulouse77%23%92%8%
Auxerre93%7%98%2%

1st Half

140%
X41%
220%

1st Score

159%
X7%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

17%

X-X

15%

2-2

11%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.7%

1-1

11.7%

2-1

10.0%

2-0

9.2%

0-0

7.0%

0-1

6.9%

1-2

6.1%

3-0

5.2%

3-1

5.1%

2-2

5.1%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Toulouse – Troyes prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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