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Nice vs Strasbourg

Nice vs Strasbourg 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result

Nice

2–1

Strasbourg

1.6Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Nice would usually take 1.9 points and Strasbourg 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nice.

Nice +1.1 pts vs chancesStrasbourg −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nice vs Strasbourg stats: how the match was played

Ligue 1

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nice had more than twice the shots on target

Nice

Strasbourg

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Nice and Strasbourg ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Nice win with 47% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brest – Nice prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Nice vs Strasbourg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 1

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nice to win

Correct

Our model 47%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,953 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,002 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Nice Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nice 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Nice 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,851 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Strasbourg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Strasbourg 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,265 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nice vs Strasbourg 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nice vs Strasbourg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligue 1 - France

Nice2

Strasbourg1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Ligue 1 - France

Nice2

Strasbourg1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

147%

X26%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	57%	43%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	35%	65%	67%	33%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	22%	78%	52%	48%
	35%	65%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

137%

X39%

224%

1st Score

157%

X6%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

9.4%

2-0

7.3%

1-2

7.1%

0-1

6.5%

2-2

6.2%

0-0

6.1%

3-1

4.8%

3-0

4.1%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Nice vs Strasbourg — Recent Form

Nice have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Strasbourg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Nice

Strasbourg

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Nice

3/5

Strasbourg

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Nice

4/5

Strasbourg

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Nice

4/5

Strasbourg

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Nice

5/5

Strasbourg

3/5

First Half Result

Nice

4/5

Strasbourg

2/5

Correct Score

Nice

1/5

Strasbourg

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Brest – Nice prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).