Troyes vs Lens Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Troyes vs Lens — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Lens to win
Our track record
In 3,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,046 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,174 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Troyes 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Lens 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 826 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.7% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Troyes vs Lens — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Troyes vs Lens. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Troyes–
Lens–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Troyes–Lens–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29% | 71% | 59% | 41% |
 | 24% | 76% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
21%
X-X
15%
X-1
12%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Troyes vs Lens — Recent Form
Lens have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Troyes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
LensTroyesOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LensTroyesBoth Teams to Score
LensTroyesOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LensTroyesOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LensTroyesFirst Half Result
LensTroyesCorrect Score
LensTroyes