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Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire 2-4 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result

Colorado Rapids

2–4

Chicago Fire

1.3Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Colorado Rapids would usually take 1.2 points and Chicago Fire 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Colorado Rapids.

Colorado Rapids −1.2 pts vs chancesChicago Fire +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Chicago Fire had clearly more shots on target

Colorado Rapids

Chicago Fire

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire ended 2-4. Our AI model predicted a Colorado Rapids win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chicago Fire – Columbus Crew prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Colorado Rapids to win

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,345 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 1,997 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Colorado Rapids Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Colorado Rapids 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Colorado Rapids 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,900 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Chicago Fire Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chicago Fire 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,679 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire 2-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Colorado Rapids2

Chicago Fire4

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Colorado Rapids2

Chicago Fire4

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

142%

X25%

233%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	54%	46%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	31%	69%	62%	38%	84%	16%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	31%	69%	62%	38%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	84%	16%	94%	6%

1st Half

137%

X39%

224%

1st Score

154%

X5%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

16%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

2-1

9.0%

1-0

8.1%

1-2

7.6%

0-1

6.7%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

6.2%

0-0

5.4%

3-1

4.5%

0-2

4.4%

3-0

3.5%

1-3

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — Recent Form

Chicago Fire have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Colorado Rapids have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Chicago Fire

Colorado Rapids

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Chicago Fire

2/5

Colorado Rapids

0/5

Both Teams to Score

Chicago Fire

4/5

Colorado Rapids

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Chicago Fire

4/5

Colorado Rapids

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Chicago Fire

1/5

Colorado Rapids

2/5

First Half Result

Chicago Fire

2/5

Colorado Rapids

3/5

Correct Score

Chicago Fire

0/5

Colorado Rapids

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Chicago Fire – Columbus Crew prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).