Flop as favourites
3/9Inter Miami won only 3 of 9 as favourites (league 50%).
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New England vs Inter Miami Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Riding their luck
New England are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: New England 33% to winInter Miami 45%
New England vs Inter Miami score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.6 goals expected
3.6 goals in total: more goals than a typical Major League Soccer game (average 3.3).
goals expected
New England1.8Inter Miami1.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for New England vs Inter Miami: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
New England vs Inter Miami — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Inter Miami to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 419 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 1,186 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 293 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.3% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 37%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 1,997 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
New England Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
New England 0–1 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 1,031 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Inter Miami Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Inter Miami 2+ goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 1,031 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
New England vs Inter Miami — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for New England vs Inter Miami. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
New England–
Inter Miami–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
New England–Inter Miami–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
134%
X23%
243%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 57% | 43% |
| 22% | 78% | 49% | 51% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
133%
X37%
230%
1st Score
149%
X3%
247%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
20%
X-X
13%
X-2
13%
X-1
11%
1-X
6%
1-2
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
New England vs Inter Miami: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Inter Miami: flop as favourites
3/9Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →New England vs Inter Miami: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- New England: weak attack, weak defence (1.54 xG, 1.81 xGA a game)
- Inter Miami: weak attack, weak defence (1.46 xG, 1.59 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →New England vs Inter Miami form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesNew England are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- New EnglandBookmakers: 33% to win today.+9.3
- Inter MiamiBookmakers: 45% to win today.−1.0
Last 5 matches
New EnglandW
W
W
W
L
Inter MiamiD
L
W
W
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: New England 14th of 30 · Inter Miami 4th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →New England vs Inter Miami: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNew England and Inter Miami games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Major League Soccer average (65%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
New England9 of 10
Inter Miami7 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
New England7 of 10
Inter Miami7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 508 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →New England vs Inter Miami corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 2.1
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
New England2/5
Inter Miami3/5
Both Teams to Score
New England3/5
Inter Miami2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
New England4/5
Inter Miami3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
New England3/5
Inter Miami2/5
First Half Result
New England0/5
Inter Miami2/5
Correct Score
New England0/5
Inter Miami0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction