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Austin vs Los Angeles FC 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2025

Fair result
AustinAustin

1–0

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
0.5Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Austin would usually take 1.2 points and Los Angeles FC 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Los Angeles FC.

Austin +1.8 pts vs chancesLos Angeles FC −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Austin vs Los Angeles FC stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Austin

Los Angeles FC

2

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

3

Corners

1

3

Yellow cards

2

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Austin and Los Angeles FC ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Los Angeles FC win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Los Angeles FC – Austin prediction & betting tips (Oct 15, 2026).

Austin vs Los Angeles FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,529 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,557 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,883 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,581 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Austin Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Austin 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,415 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Los Angeles FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 967 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Austin vs Los Angeles FC 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Austin vs Los Angeles FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
AustinAustin1
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC0

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

132%
X25%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Austin31%69%64%36%
Los Angeles FC24%76%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Austin86%14%95%5%
Los Angeles FC79%21%92%8%

1st Half

126%
X40%
233%

1st Score

140%
X6%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

17%

X-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-1

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

1-2

9.3%

0-1

8.3%

2-1

7.5%

1-0

7.3%

2-2

6.3%

0-2

6.3%

0-0

5.7%

2-0

4.8%

1-3

4.7%

2-3

3.5%

3-1

3.3%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Los Angeles FC – Austin prediction & betting tips (Oct 15, 2026).

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