2. Leagues
  3. Major League Soccer
  4. Sporting KC vs San Diego

Sporting KC vs San Diego 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
Sporting KCSporting KC

0–1

San DiegoSan Diego
0.8Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Sporting KC would usually take 0.7 points and San Diego 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: San Diego.

Sporting KC −0.7 pts vs chancesSan Diego +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sporting KC vs San Diego stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

San Diego had clearly more shots on target

Sporting KC

San Diego

3

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

3

2

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

4

33%

Possession

68%

The match between Sporting KC and San Diego ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an San Diego win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Minnesota United – Sporting KC prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Sporting KC vs San Diego — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

San Diego to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: San Diego ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,221 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Sporting KC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting KC 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

San Diego Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

San Diego 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: San Diego 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 853 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sporting KC vs San Diego 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sporting KC vs San Diego. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
Sporting KCSporting KC0
San DiegoSan Diego1

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

130%
X24%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sporting KC35%65%66%34%
San Diego23%77%53%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sporting KC86%14%95%5%
San Diego78%22%91%9%

1st Half

126%
X39%
235%

1st Score

142%
X6%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

18%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

0-1

9.1%

1-2

9.0%

0-2

7.4%

2-1

6.9%

1-0

6.7%

2-2

5.8%

0-0

5.7%

1-3

4.8%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

4.2%

3-1

3.3%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Minnesota United – Sporting KC prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores