2. Leagues
  3. Major League Soccer
  4. SJ Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC

SJ Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Robbed

SJ Earthquakes drew despite more chances

SJ EarthquakesSJ Earthquakes

2–2

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
2.3Chances (xG)0.3

On these chances SJ Earthquakes would usually take 2.6 points and Los Angeles FC 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Los Angeles FC.

SJ Earthquakes −1.6 pts vs chancesLos Angeles FC +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SJ Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

SJ Earthquakes had more than twice the shots on target

SJ Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC

9

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

18

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

69%

Possession

31%

The match between SJ Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Los Angeles FC win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Dallas – SJ Earthquakes prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

SJ Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

SJ Earthquakes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SJ Earthquakes 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,454 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Los Angeles FC Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Los Angeles FC 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SJ Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SJ Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
SJ EarthquakesSJ Earthquakes2
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

132%
X26%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
SJ Earthquakes31%69%64%36%
Los Angeles FC24%76%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
SJ Earthquakes85%15%95%5%
Los Angeles FC80%20%93%7%

1st Half

130%
X38%
233%

1st Score

146%
X6%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

19%

X-X

13%

X-2

13%

X-1

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-2

9.1%

0-1

8.3%

2-1

7.6%

1-0

7.2%

2-2

6.6%

0-2

6.3%

0-0

5.9%

1-3

4.6%

2-0

4.6%

0-3

3.4%

3-1

3.3%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Dallas – SJ Earthquakes prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores