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Colorado Rapids vs SJ Earthquakes 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Colorado Rapids1–1
SJ EarthquakesOn these chances Colorado Rapids would usually take 1.8 points and SJ Earthquakes 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Colorado Rapids.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Colorado Rapids vs SJ Earthquakes stats: how the match was played
Major League Soccer
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Colorado Rapids had more than twice the shots on target
Colorado Rapids
SJ Earthquakes
10
Shots on target
3
2
Big chances
2
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
1
64%
Possession
36%
Colorado Rapids vs SJ Earthquakes — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Colorado Rapids to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Colorado Rapids ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Colorado Rapids 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Colorado Rapids 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
SJ Earthquakes 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Colorado Rapids vs SJ Earthquakes 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Colorado Rapids vs SJ Earthquakes. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Colorado Rapids1
SJ Earthquakes1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Colorado Rapids1SJ Earthquakes1Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% |
| 33% | 67% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
16%
X-X
14%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Colorado Rapids vs SJ Earthquakes — Recent Form
SJ Earthquakes have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Colorado Rapids have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
SJ EarthquakesColorado RapidsOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Colorado RapidsSJ EarthquakesBoth Teams to Score
Colorado RapidsSJ EarthquakesOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Colorado RapidsSJ EarthquakesOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Colorado RapidsSJ EarthquakesFirst Half Result
Colorado RapidsSJ EarthquakesCorrect Score
Colorado RapidsSJ Earthquakes