Banker as favourites
8/8Metalist 1925 Kharkiv won 8 of 8 as favourites (league 55%).
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LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Unlucky
LNZ Cherkasy are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 8 with xG
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: LNZ Cherkasy 32% to winMetalist 1925 Kharkiv 39%
LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 1.8 goals expected
1.8 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Premier League average is 2.5).
goals expected
LNZ Cherkasy0.9Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win
Our model 49%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 3,539 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,759 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 5,340 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 86%
Our track record
In 3,639 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 4,299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
LNZ Cherkasy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
LNZ Cherkasy 0–1 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
LNZ Cherkasy–
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
LNZ Cherkasy–Metalist 1925 Kharkiv–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
0-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
123%
X28%
249%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44% | 56% | 78% | 22% |
| 25% | 76% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
121%
X46%
232%
1st Score
142%
X10%
248%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
27%
X-X
18%
X-2
17%
1-1
14%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: banker as favourites and fast starters · LNZ Cherkasy: shot-shy
8/8Fast starters
7/10Metalist 1925 Kharkiv scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Shot-shy
6/10LNZ Cherkasy failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 35%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- LNZ Cherkasy: weak attack, good defence (1.02 xG, 0.73 xGA a game)
- Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: good attack, good defence (1.49 xG, 0.59 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesLNZ Cherkasy are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- LNZ CherkasyBookmakers: 32% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesWasteful · −4 goals−4.3
- Metalist 1925 KharkivBookmakers: 39% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesClinical · +3 goals+2.2
Last 5 matches
Metalist 1925 KharkivW
W
W
W
W
LNZ CherkasyD
W
W
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: LNZ Cherkasy 5th of 16 · Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 4th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in LNZ Cherkasy and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv games less often than the Premier League average (42%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
LNZ Cherkasy5 of 10
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv6 of 10
BTTSleague 42%
LNZ Cherkasy2 of 10
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 236 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.7
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv5/5
LNZ Cherkasy4/5
Both Teams to Score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1/5
LNZ Cherkasy2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0/5
LNZ Cherkasy1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv4/5
LNZ Cherkasy4/5
First Half Result
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv3/5
LNZ Cherkasy3/5
Correct Score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0/5
LNZ Cherkasy0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction