Always on the scoresheet
0/10Polessya scored in all of their last 10 (league 35% fail to score).
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Kolos Kovalivka vs Polissya Zhytomyr Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Clinical
Polessya are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+3goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 7 with xG
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Polessya 61% to winKolos Kovalivka 17%
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Polessya expected to create clearly more
2.3 goals in total, a little under the Premier League average of 2.5.
goals expected
Kolos Kovalivka0.9Polessya1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Polessya to win
Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 1,807 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,520 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,185 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 4,604 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 2,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Kolos Kovalivka Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Kolos Kovalivka 0–1 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 82%
Our track record
In 828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Polessya Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Polessya 0–1 goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Kolos Kovalivka–
Polessya–Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Kolos Kovalivka–Polessya–Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
119%
X26%
256%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | 53% | 80% | 20% |
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
117%
X44%
239%
1st Score
133%
X9%
258%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
34%
X-X
18%
X-2
18%
1-1
10%
X-1
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Polessya: always on the scoresheet, fast starters and banker as favourites
0/10Fast starters
8/10Polessya scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Banker as favourites
7/9Polessya won 7 of 9 as favourites (league 55%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Kolos Kovalivka: good attack, weak defence (1.23 xG, 1.18 xGA a game)
- Polessya: good attack, good defence (1.70 xG, 0.63 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Kolos KovalivkaBookmakers: 17% to win today. · 8 of 10 games−0.2
- PolessyaBookmakers: 61% to win today. · 7 of 10 gamesClinical · +3 goals+2.2
Last 5 matches
PolessyaW
W
D
W
W
Kolos KovalivkaW
L
W
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Kolos Kovalivka 7th of 16 · Polessya 3rd of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredKolos Kovalivka and Polessya games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Premier League average (50%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Kolos Kovalivka5 of 10
Polessya7 of 10
BTTSleague 42%
Kolos Kovalivka5 of 10
Polessya6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 236 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.7
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Kolos Kovalivka4/5
Polessya4/5
Both Teams to Score
Kolos Kovalivka1/5
Polessya4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Kolos Kovalivka3/5
Polessya3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Kolos Kovalivka3/5
Polessya2/5
First Half Result
Kolos Kovalivka1/5
Polessya5/5
Correct Score
Kolos Kovalivka0/5
Polessya1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction