Fast starters
8/10Dynamo Kyiv scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 44%).
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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Fast starters
Dynamo Kyiv scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 44%).
8/10Scored first · Dynamo Kyiv
Bookmakers: Dynamo Kyiv 16% to winShakhtar Donetsk 61%
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Shakhtar Donetsk expected to create clearly more
2.7 goals in total, a little over the Premier League average of 2.5.
goals expected
Shakhtar Donetsk1.6Dynamo Kyiv1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Our model 54%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 2,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 3,988 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 6,669 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.2% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shakhtar Donetsk 2+ goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 2,820 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Dynamo Kyiv Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Dynamo Kyiv 0–1 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 3,386 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Shakhtar Donetsk–
Dynamo Kyiv–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Shakhtar Donetsk–Dynamo Kyiv–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
154%
X23%
222%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 48% | 52% |
| 41% | 59% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
141%
X39%
220%
1st Score
160%
X6%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
13%
X-2
7%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
2-1
10.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Dynamo Kyiv: fast starters · Shakhtar Donetsk: brick wall and banker as favourites
8/10Brick wall
7/10Shakhtar Donetsk kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 35%).
Banker as favourites
8/10Shakhtar Donetsk won 8 of 10 as favourites (league 56%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Shakhtar Donetsk: good attack, good defence (1.64 xG, 0.67 xGA a game)
- Dynamo Kyiv: good attack, good defence (1.62 xG, 0.88 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Shakhtar DonetskBookmakers: 61% to win today. · 7 of 10 games+2.1
- Dynamo KyivBookmakers: 16% to win today. · 8 of 10 games+1.7
Last 5 matches
Shakhtar DonetskW
D
W
W
W
Dynamo KyivW
W
L
W
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Shakhtar Donetsk 1st of 16 · Dynamo Kyiv 2nd of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk games less often than the Premier League average (42%), in Dynamo Kyiv games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Shakhtar Donetsk4 of 10
Dynamo Kyiv7 of 10
BTTSleague 42%
Shakhtar Donetsk2 of 10
Dynamo Kyiv5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 233 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.7
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Dynamo Kyiv5/5
Shakhtar Donetsk4/5
Both Teams to Score
Dynamo Kyiv1/5
Shakhtar Donetsk3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Dynamo Kyiv3/5
Shakhtar Donetsk2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Dynamo Kyiv3/5
Shakhtar Donetsk5/5
First Half Result
Dynamo Kyiv3/5
Shakhtar Donetsk2/5
Correct Score
Dynamo Kyiv0/5
Shakhtar Donetsk0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction