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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 5-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 16)

Fair result

Shakhtar Donetsk

5–0

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

2.6Chances (xG)0.3

On these chances Shakhtar Donetsk would usually take 2.7 points and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Shakhtar Donetsk.

Shakhtar Donetsk +0.3 pts vs chancesEpitsentr Dunayivtsi −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Shakhtar Donetsk had more than twice the shots on target

Shakhtar Donetsk

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi ended 5-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Shakhtar Donetsk win with 72% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shakhtar Donetsk to win

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 321 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shakhtar Donetsk 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 86%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 5-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Ukraine

Shakhtar Donetsk5

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0

Winner

1 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Premier League - Ukraine

Shakhtar Donetsk5

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0

Winner

1 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

172%

X17%

211%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	54%	46%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	10%	90%	35%	65%	61%	39%	81%	19%
	56%	44%	86%	14%	97%	3%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	10%	90%	35%	65%
	56%	44%	86%	14%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	61%	39%	81%	19%
	97%	3%	99%	1%

1st Half

156%

X33%

212%

1st Score

174%

X5%

221%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

51%

X-1

19%

X-X

10%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-0

12.3%

1-0

11.9%

2-1

10.2%

3-0

8.6%

1-1

8.2%

3-1

7.7%

0-0

4.7%

0-1

3.7%

2-2

3.5%

1-2

3.4%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).