Banker as favourites
9/10Celtic won 9 of 10 as favourites (league 53%).
- Home
- Celtic vs Kilmarnock
Celtic vs Kilmarnock Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Riding their luck
Celtic are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Celtic 84% to winKilmarnock 5%
Celtic vs Kilmarnock score prediction
Premiership
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.7 goals expected
3.7 goals in total: more goals than a typical Premiership game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Celtic2.9
Kilmarnock0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Celtic vs Kilmarnock: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premiership
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic to win
Our model 68%Bookmakers 84%
Our track record
In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.4% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic ahead at half-time
Our model 58%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Celtic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic 2+ goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Kilmarnock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Kilmarnock 0–1 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 2,569 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Celtic vs Kilmarnock. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Celtic–
Kilmarnock–Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Celtic–Kilmarnock–Winner
1 68%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
168%
X17%
214%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 14% | 86% | 32% | 68% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 90% | 31% | 69% |
| 50% | 50% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57% | 43% | 78% | 22% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
158%
X29%
214%
1st Score
174%
X3%
223%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
53%
X-1
17%
X-X
8%
2-2
6%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
1-X
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-1
10.1%
2-0
9.0%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Celtic vs Kilmarnock: the stats that stand out
Premiership
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Celtic: banker as favourites, fast starters and always on the scoresheet
9/10Fast starters
7/10Celtic scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Celtic failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Celtic vs Kilmarnock: attack vs defence
Premiership
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premiership teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Celtic: good attack, good defence (2.34 xG, 1.30 xGA a game)
- Kilmarnock: weak attack, weak defence (1.19 xG, 1.95 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Celtic vs Kilmarnock form and luck check
Premiership
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premiership gamesCeltic are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- CelticBookmakers: 84% to win today.+4.7
- KilmarnockBookmakers: 5% to win today.+0.1
Last 5 matches
CelticW
W
W
L
W
KilmarnockL
W
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Celtic 1st of 12 · Kilmarnock 12th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Celtic vs Kilmarnock: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premiership
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premiership gamesBTTS = both teams scoredCeltic and Kilmarnock games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Premiership average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Celtic6 of 10
Kilmarnock6 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Celtic5 of 10
Kilmarnock5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 233 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Celtic vs Kilmarnock corners, cards and goal times
Premiership
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.1
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 48%
- Goals after 75': league 22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Celtic4/5
Kilmarnock3/5
Both Teams to Score
Celtic2/5
Kilmarnock3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Celtic2/5
Kilmarnock3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Celtic4/5
Kilmarnock3/5
First Half Result
Celtic2/5
Kilmarnock2/5
Correct Score
Celtic0/5
Kilmarnock1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction