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Rangers vs Aberdeen 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2025/2026 (Round 11)

Fair result
RangersRangers

2–0

AberdeenAberdeen
2.3Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Rangers would usually take 2.1 points and Aberdeen 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Rangers.

Rangers +0.9 pts vs chancesAberdeen −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rangers vs Aberdeen stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rangers had more than twice the shots on target

Rangers

Aberdeen

8

Shots on target

3

4

Big chances

3

7

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

2

65%

Possession

36%

The match between Rangers and Aberdeen ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Rangers win with 64% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rangers – St. Johnstone prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Rangers vs Aberdeen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rangers to win

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,056 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rangers ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Rangers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rangers 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Aberdeen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aberdeen 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rangers vs Aberdeen 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rangers vs Aberdeen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premiership - Scotland
RangersRangers2
AberdeenAberdeen0

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

164%
X20%
217%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rangers13%87%39%61%
Aberdeen48%52%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rangers66%34%84%16%
Aberdeen93%7%98%2%

1st Half

152%
X35%
214%

1st Score

169%
X5%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

20%

X-X

11%

2-2

6%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

10.3%

2-1

10.3%

2-0

10.0%

1-1

9.1%

3-0

7.0%

3-1

6.6%

2-2

4.8%

0-0

4.5%

1-2

4.4%

0-1

4.3%

3-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rangers – St. Johnstone prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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