2. Leagues
  3. Premiership
  4. Livingston vs Kilmarnock

Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2025/2026 (Round 22)

Fair result
LivingstonLivingston

1–1

KilmarnockKilmarnock
1.3Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Livingston would usually take 1.4 points and Kilmarnock 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Livingston.

Livingston −0.4 pts vs chancesKilmarnock −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Livingston vs Kilmarnock stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Livingston

Kilmarnock

5

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

4

7

Corners

5

4

Yellow cards

1

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Livingston and Kilmarnock ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Livingston win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Falkirk – Kilmarnock prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Livingston vs Kilmarnock — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Livingston to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,153 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Livingston Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Livingston 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Kilmarnock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kilmarnock 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,273 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Livingston vs Kilmarnock. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premiership - Scotland
LivingstonLivingston1
KilmarnockKilmarnock1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

140%
X27%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Livingston28%72%62%38%
Kilmarnock33%67%68%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Livingston85%15%95%5%
Kilmarnock88%12%96%4%

1st Half

135%
X42%
223%

1st Score

156%
X8%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

1-0

10.5%

0-1

9.2%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

7.7%

0-0

7.6%

2-0

7.1%

0-2

5.6%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Falkirk – Kilmarnock prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores