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Hibernian vs Dundee United

Hibernian vs Dundee United 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result

Hibernian

3–2

Dundee United

1.6Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Hibernian would usually take 1.4 points and Dundee United 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hibernian.

Hibernian +1.6 pts vs chancesDundee United −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hibernian vs Dundee United stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Hibernian

Dundee United

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Hibernian and Dundee United ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Hibernian win with 51% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Hibernian vs Dundee United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian to win

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,864 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 4,595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hibernian ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 1,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Hibernian Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hibernian 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,873 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Dundee United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dundee United 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 77%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hibernian vs Dundee United 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hibernian vs Dundee United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Hibernian3

Dundee United2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Hibernian3

Dundee United2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

151%

X26%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	53%	47%	63%	37%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	53%	47%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	54%	46%	78%	22%	91%	9%
	43%	57%	77%	23%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	54%	46%
	43%	57%	77%	23%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	91%	9%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

139%

X40%

221%

1st Score

156%

X9%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

18%

X-X

13%

2-2

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.4%

1-1

11.6%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.6%

0-0

8.5%

0-1

8.1%

1-2

5.6%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.8%

2-2

4.6%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).