St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock 4-3 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

The match between St. Johnstone and Kilmarnock ended 4-3. Our AI model correctly predicted a St. Johnstone win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kilmarnock – Dundee United prediction & betting tips (Aug 29, 2026).

St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock — Premiership Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Round 1 · 1st Phase

Full-Time Result

44.5% implied

Kilmarnock100%2/2+124.7%Strongly above implied probability
St. Johnstone50%1/2+12.4%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Kilmarnock100%2/2+83.8%Strongly above implied probability
St. Johnstone100%2/2+83.8%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.1% implied

Kilmarnock100%2/2+84.8%Strongly above implied probability
St. Johnstone50%1/2-7.6%Near implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

61.1% implied

Kilmarnock0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
St. Johnstone50%1/2-18.2%Below implied probability

First Half Result

38.7% implied

Kilmarnock0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
St. Johnstone0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Kilmarnock0%0/2
St. Johnstone0%0/2

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for St. Johnstone and Kilmarnock across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Kilmarnock hit at 100% accuracy — that's 124.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 44.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Kilmarnock sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock 4-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone4
KilmarnockKilmarnock3

Winner

1 57%

BTTS**

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

157%
X22%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
St. Johnstone19%81%47%53%
Kilmarnock44%56%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
St. Johnstone73%27%89%11%
Kilmarnock92%8%98%2%

1st Half

147%
X37%
217%

1st Score

168%
X6%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

11.1%

1-1

10.4%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

9.8%

0-1

6.2%

0-0

5.9%

3-0

5.8%

3-1

5.8%

1-2

5.3%

2-2

4.6%

0-2

3.3%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock — Prediction Form & Streaks

St. Johnstone have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Kilmarnock have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
KilmarnockKilmarnock
2 in a row
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
KilmarnockKilmarnock
2 in a row
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
2 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
KilmarnockKilmarnock
2 in a row
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0 in a row
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0 in a row
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0 in a row
St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
0 in a row

St. Johnstone & Kilmarnock Teams in Best Form

St. JohnstoneSt. Johnstone
L
W
KilmarnockKilmarnock
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores