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Hibernian vs Kilmarnock

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result

Hibernian

0–1

Kilmarnock

2.1Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Hibernian would usually take 1.5 points and Kilmarnock 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Hibernian.

Hibernian −1.5 pts vs chancesKilmarnock +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Hibernian

Kilmarnock

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Hibernian and Kilmarnock ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Hibernian win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kilmarnock – Motherwell prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian to win

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,557 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hibernian ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,154 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.

Hibernian Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,748 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Kilmarnock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kilmarnock 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Hibernian0

Kilmarnock1

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Hibernian0

Kilmarnock1

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

151%

X23%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%	54%	46%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%	73%	27%	88%	12%
	37%	63%	69%	31%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	48%	52%
	37%	63%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	73%	27%	88%	12%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

135%

X40%

224%

1st Score

155%

X5%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.3%

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.7%

2-0

7.6%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.9%

0-1

5.8%

3-1

5.7%

0-0

5.0%

3-0

4.8%

0-2

3.6%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Kilmarnock have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Hibernian have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Kilmarnock

Hibernian

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hibernian

1/5

Kilmarnock

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Hibernian

3/5

Kilmarnock

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hibernian

2/5

Kilmarnock

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hibernian

4/5

Kilmarnock

4/5

First Half Result

Hibernian

0/5

Kilmarnock

2/5

Correct Score

Hibernian

1/5

Kilmarnock

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kilmarnock – Motherwell prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).