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Dundee United vs Hibernian

Dundee United vs Hibernian 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Dundee United

1–0

Hibernian

1.8Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Dundee United would usually take 1.9 points and Hibernian 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hibernian.

Dundee United +1.1 pts vs chancesHibernian −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Dundee United vs Hibernian stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Dundee United had more than twice the shots on target

Dundee United

Hibernian

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Dundee United and Hibernian ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Hibernian win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Dundee United vs Hibernian — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian to win

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Dundee United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dundee United 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Hibernian Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Dundee United vs Hibernian 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Dundee United vs Hibernian. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Dundee United1

Hibernian0

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Dundee United1

Hibernian0

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

128%

X28%

244%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	30%	70%	55%	45%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	30%	70%	55%	45%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	39%	61%	72%	28%	90%	10%	97%	3%
	26%	74%	60%	40%	84%	16%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	39%	61%	72%	28%
	26%	74%	60%	40%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	90%	10%	97%	3%
	84%	16%	95%	5%

1st Half

128%

X41%

231%

1st Score

142%

X9%

249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

19%

X-X

17%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

0-1

12.3%

0-0

9.0%

1-2

8.8%

1-0

8.4%

0-2

8.3%

2-1

6.7%

2-2

4.9%

2-0

4.2%

0-3

4.0%

1-3

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Dundee United vs Hibernian — Recent Form

Dundee United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Hibernian have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Dundee United

Hibernian

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hibernian

1/5

Dundee United

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Hibernian

4/5

Dundee United

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hibernian

3/5

Dundee United

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hibernian

5/5

Dundee United

4/5

First Half Result

Hibernian

0/5

Dundee United

0/5

Correct Score

Hibernian

1/5

Dundee United

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).