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Motherwell vs Celtic

Motherwell vs Celtic 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Motherwell

0–2

Celtic

1.0Chances (xG)2.8

On these chances Motherwell would usually take 0.5 points and Celtic 2.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Celtic.

Motherwell −0.5 pts vs chancesCeltic +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Motherwell vs Celtic stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Celtic had more than twice the shots on target

Motherwell

Celtic

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

34%

Possession

66%

The match between Motherwell and Celtic ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Celtic win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hibernian – Celtic prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Motherwell vs Celtic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 3,086 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,382 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Celtic ahead at half-time.

Our model 36%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).

Motherwell Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Motherwell 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Celtic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Motherwell vs Celtic 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Motherwell vs Celtic. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Motherwell0

Celtic2

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Motherwell0

Celtic2

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

131%

X23%

246%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%	51%	49%	77%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	77%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	63%	37%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	21%	79%	50%	50%	75%	25%	90%	10%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	63%	37%
	21%	79%	50%	50%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	75%	25%	90%	10%

1st Half

128%

X36%

236%

1st Score

143%

X4%

253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

19%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

9.4%

2-1

7.7%

0-1

7.5%

2-2

6.6%

0-2

6.2%

1-0

5.8%

1-3

5.3%

0-0

4.4%

2-0

4.0%

0-3

3.9%

2-3

3.8%

3-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Motherwell vs Celtic — Recent Form

Celtic have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Motherwell have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Celtic

Motherwell

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Celtic

4/5

Motherwell

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Celtic

2/5

Motherwell

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Celtic

2/5

Motherwell

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Celtic

4/5

Motherwell

3/5

First Half Result

Celtic

2/5

Motherwell

2/5

Correct Score

Celtic

0/5

Motherwell

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hibernian – Celtic prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).