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Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone

Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Smash-and-grab

St. Johnstone won with fewer chances than Aberdeen

Aberdeen

0–1

St. Johnstone

2.0Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Aberdeen would usually take 1.9 points and St. Johnstone 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Aberdeen.

Aberdeen −1.9 pts vs chancesSt. Johnstone +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Aberdeen had more than twice the shots on target

Aberdeen

St. Johnstone

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

65%

Possession

35%

The match between Aberdeen and St. Johnstone ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Aberdeen win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rangers – St. Johnstone prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aberdeen to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Aberdeen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aberdeen 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

St. Johnstone Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Johnstone 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Aberdeen0

St. Johnstone1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Aberdeen0

St. Johnstone1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

141%

X26%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%	62%	38%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	62%	38%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%	84%	16%	95%	5%
	34%	66%	66%	34%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	34%	66%	66%	34%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	95%	5%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

129%

X42%

230%

1st Score

145%

X8%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

24%

1-1

20%

X-X

16%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

10.1%

0-1

8.3%

2-1

8.1%

0-0

7.7%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

7.4%

0-2

5.2%

2-2

4.9%

3-0

3.8%

3-1

3.8%

1-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone — Recent Form

St. Johnstone have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Aberdeen have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Last 5 matches

St. Johnstone

Aberdeen

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Aberdeen

1/5

St. Johnstone

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Aberdeen

2/5

St. Johnstone

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Aberdeen

2/5

St. Johnstone

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Aberdeen

3/5

St. Johnstone

5/5

First Half Result

Aberdeen

2/5

St. Johnstone

2/5

Correct Score

Aberdeen

1/5

St. Johnstone

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rangers – St. Johnstone prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).