Slow starters
2/10Cerro Largo scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Racing vs Cerro Largo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 13)
Slow starters
Cerro Largo scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).
2/10Scored first · Cerro Largo
Bookmakers: Cerro Largo 19% to win
Racing vs Cerro Largo score prediction
Primera Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Racing expected to create clearly more
2.1 goals in total, a little under the Primera Division average of 2.4.
goals expected
Racing1.3Cerro Largo0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Racing vs Cerro Largo: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Racing vs Cerro Largo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Racing to win
Our model 58%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 1,794 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 3,627 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 4,264 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Racing Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Racing 0–1 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 2,807 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Cerro Largo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Cerro Largo 0–1 goals
Our model 83%Bookmakers 81%
Our track record
In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Racing vs Cerro Largo — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Racing vs Cerro Largo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Racing–
Cerro Largo–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Racing–Cerro Largo–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
158%
X25%
217%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 53% | 47% |
| 50% | 50% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 93% | 7% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
140%
X46%
215%
1st Score
161%
X9%
230%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
20%
X-X
17%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.9%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
10.1%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Racing vs Cerro Largo: the stats that stand out
Primera Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Cerro Largo: slow starters · Racing: shot-shy
2/10Shot-shy
5/10Racing failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Racing vs Cerro Largo: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Primera Division
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Primera Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredRacing and Cerro Largo games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Primera Division average (43%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 43%
Racing4 of 10
Cerro Largo2 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Racing3 of 10
Cerro Largo5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 292 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Racing vs Cerro Largo form and luck check
Primera Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Primera Division gamesCerro Largo: results in line with their chances
- Cerro LargoBookmakers: 19% to win today. · 5 of 10 games+0.7
Last 5 matches
RacingD
W
L
L
L
Cerro LargoW
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Racing 5th of 16 · Cerro Largo 11th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Racing vs Cerro Largo corners, cards and goal times
Primera Division
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 3.0
- Goals before half-time: league 46%
- Goals after 75': league 27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Cerro Largo3/5
Racing3/5
Both Teams to Score
Cerro Largo3/5
Racing3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Cerro Largo4/5
Racing2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Cerro Largo5/5
Racing4/5
First Half Result
Cerro Largo2/5
Racing2/5
Correct Score
Cerro Largo0/5
Racing0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction