Always chasing
7/10Albion conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 13)
Always chasing
Albion conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
7/10Conceded first · Albion
Bookmakers: Albion 31% to win
Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado score prediction
Primera Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little over the Primera Division average of 2.4.
goals expected
Albion1.2
Deportivo Maldonado1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Maldonado to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Albion 0–1 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Deportivo Maldonado Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Maldonado 0–1 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Albion–
Deportivo Maldonado–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Albion–Deportivo Maldonado–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
129%
X27%
244%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 70% | 30% |
| 25% | 75% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
125%
X45%
230%
1st Score
141%
X8%
251%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
X-X
18%
1-1
17%
X-2
16%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado: the stats that stand out
Primera Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Albion: always chasing · Deportivo Maldonado: brick wall
7/10Brick wall
5/10Deportivo Maldonado kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Primera Division
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Primera Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredAlbion games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Primera Division average (43%), Deportivo Maldonado games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 43%
Albion7 of 10
Deportivo Maldonado3 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Albion7 of 10
Deportivo Maldonado3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 292 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado form and luck check
Primera Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Primera Division gamesAlbion: results in line with their chances
- AlbionBookmakers: 31% to win today. · 6 of 10 games−3.8
Last 5 matches
AlbionW
W
W
W
L
Deportivo MaldonadoW
L
D
W
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Albion 8th of 16 · Deportivo Maldonado 6th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado corners, cards and goal times
Primera Division
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 3.0
- Goals before half-time: league 46%
- Goals after 75': league 27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Deportivo Maldonado3/5
Albion4/5
Both Teams to Score
Deportivo Maldonado1/5
Albion2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Deportivo Maldonado2/5
Albion2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Deportivo Maldonado4/5
Albion3/5
First Half Result
Deportivo Maldonado2/5
Albion1/5
Correct Score
Deportivo Maldonado1/5
Albion0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction