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Boston River vs Progreso 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2024 (Round 8)
Boston River vs Progreso stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Boston River had more than twice the shots on target
Boston River
Progreso
6
Shots on target
2
2
Corners
3
5
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Boston River vs Progreso — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Boston River to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,096 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Boston River 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Progreso 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,268 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Boston River vs Progreso 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Boston River vs Progreso. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Boston River1
Progreso0Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Boston River1Progreso0Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 67% | 33% |
 | 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
20%
X-X
20%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score