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Defensor Sporting vs Central Español 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 5)

Fair result
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting

0–0

Central EspañolCentral Español
1.6Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Defensor Sporting would usually take 1.8 points and Central Español 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Defensor Sporting.

Defensor Sporting −0.8 pts vs chancesCentral Español +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Defensor Sporting vs Central Español stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Defensor Sporting

Central Español

5

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

0

8

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

1

66%

Possession

34%

The match between Defensor Sporting and Central Español ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Defensor Sporting win at 35% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Central Español – Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Defensor Sporting vs Central Español — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Defensor Sporting to win

Wrong
Our model 35%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,094 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,076 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,231 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Defensor Sporting Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Defensor Sporting 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,577 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Central Español Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Central Español 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Defensor Sporting vs Central Español 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Defensor Sporting vs Central Español. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Primera Division - Uruguay
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting0
Central EspañolCentral Español0

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

135%
X31%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Defensor Sporting35%65%71%29%
Central Español36%64%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Defensor Sporting91%9%97%3%
Central Español91%9%98%2%

1st Half

126%
X49%
225%

1st Score

144%
X12%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

1-1

20%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.2%

0-1

12.4%

1-0

12.4%

0-0

12.3%

2-1

7.5%

1-2

7.0%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

6.2%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Central Español – Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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