Progreso vs Wanderers 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Progreso vs Wanderers — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 12 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
+8.9% Above implied probability
+24.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 42.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-13.8% Below implied probability
+10.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-25.7% Below implied probability
+11.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+41.4% Strongly above implied probability
+30.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
-29.7% Below implied probability
+40.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Progreso and Wanderers across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Wanderers hit at 87% accuracy — that's 41.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 61.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Wanderers sit 29.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Progreso vs Wanderers 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Progreso vs Wanderers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 24% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 5% | 13% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 5% | 15% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 17% | 2% |
| 1 | 40% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 50% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 72% | 28% | |
| 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% | |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 24% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 5% | 13% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 5% | 15% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 17% | 2% |
| 1 | 40% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 50% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 72% | 28% | |
| 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% | |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Progreso vs Wanderers — Prediction Form & Streaks
Wanderers have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Wanderers well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.