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  4. Danubio vs Racing

Danubio vs Racing 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result
DanubioDanubio

0–0

RacingRacing
0.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Danubio would usually take 1.0 points and Racing 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Racing.

Danubio 0.0 pts vs chancesRacing −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Danubio vs Racing stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Racing had more than twice the shots on target

Danubio

Racing

0

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

0

7

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

2

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Danubio and Racing ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Racing win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Danubio – Central Español prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Danubio vs Racing — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Danubio Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Danubio 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Racing Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Danubio vs Racing 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Danubio vs Racing. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Primera Division - Uruguay
DanubioDanubio0
RacingRacing0

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

126%
X29%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Danubio42%58%77%23%
Racing28%72%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Danubio94%6%99%1%
Racing86%14%96%4%

1st Half

122%
X50%
229%

1st Score

137%
X11%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

2-2

22%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

14.2%

1-1

13.3%

0-0

11.4%

1-0

9.7%

1-2

8.5%

0-2

8.4%

2-1

6.1%

2-0

4.7%

2-2

4.1%

1-3

3.8%

0-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Danubio – Central Español prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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