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Wanderers vs Nacional 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)
Wanderers vs Nacional stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Nacional had more than twice the shots on target
Wanderers
Nacional
1
Shots on target
5
3
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
3
Wanderers vs Nacional — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Nacional to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Wanderers 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Nacional 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Wanderers vs Nacional 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wanderers vs Nacional. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Wanderers1
Nacional1Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Wanderers1Nacional1Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
 | 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
X-X
21%
X-2
15%
1-1
14%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score