Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 6)
Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 6 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
43.2% implied
Deportivo Maldonado43.3%13/30+0.2%Above implied probability
Defensor Sporting40%12/30-7.4%Near implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Deportivo Maldonado40%12/30-26.5%Below implied probabilityDefensor Sporting46.7%14/30-14.2%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Deportivo Maldonado60%18/30+11.5%Strongly above implied probabilityDefensor Sporting70%21/30+30.1%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.3% implied
Deportivo Maldonado80%24/30+34.9%Strongly above implied probabilityDefensor Sporting90%27/30+51.8%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Deportivo Maldonado50%15/30+33%Strongly above implied probabilityDefensor Sporting63.3%19/30+68.4%Strongly above implied probabilityDeportivo Maldonado4/30Defensor Sporting6/30Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Defensor Sporting hit at 63% accuracy — that's 68.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Deportivo Maldonado sit 26.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Defensor Sporting1
Deportivo Maldonado0Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Defensor Sporting1Deportivo Maldonado0Winner
X2 73%
BTTS**
No 55%
Correct Score
0-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
X-X
22%
X-2
16%
1-1
14%
X-1
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado — Prediction Form & Streaks
Deportivo Maldonado have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Defensor Sporting have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Deportivo Maldonado well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingDeportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingDeportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingDeportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingDeportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingDeportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting & Deportivo Maldonado Teams in Best Form
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor Sporting