Progreso vs Racing 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 8)
Progreso vs Racing — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 8 · Clausura
Full-Time Result
43% implied
Racing33.3%10/30-22.6%Below implied probability
Progreso53.3%16/30+24%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Racing53.3%16/30-2.2%Near implied probabilityProgreso53.3%16/30-2.2%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Racing70%21/30+30.1%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso56.7%17/30+5.4%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.1% implied
Racing83.3%25/30+40.9%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso86.7%26/30+46.7%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Racing50%15/30+33%Strongly above implied probabilityProgreso40%12/30+6.4%Above implied probabilityRacing6/30Progreso5/30Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Progreso and Racing across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Progreso hit at 87% accuracy — that's 46.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 59.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Racing sit 22.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Progreso vs Racing 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Progreso vs Racing. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Progreso2
Racing1Winner
2 54%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Progreso2Racing1Winner
2 54%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 50% | 82% | 18% |
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
X-X
18%
X-2
18%
1-1
10%
X-1
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
15.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
11.3%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Progreso vs Racing — Prediction Form & Streaks
Progreso have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Racing have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
RacingProgresoRacingProgresoRacingProgresoRacingProgresoRacingProgresoRacingProgresoProgreso & Racing Teams in Best Form
ProgresoRacing