Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 9)
Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español stats: how the match was played
Primera Division
Deportivo Maldonado had more than twice the shots on target
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Español
3
Shots on target
1
3
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
2
Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Maldonado to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,039 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 793 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.3% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Deportivo Maldonado 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Deportivo Maldonado 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Central Español 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Deportivo Maldonado3
Central Español0Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Deportivo Maldonado3Central Español0Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 54% | 46% |
 | 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
22%
X-X
17%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-1
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español — Recent Form
Deportivo Maldonado have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Central Español have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Deportivo MaldonadoCentral EspañolOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Central EspañolDeportivo MaldonadoBoth Teams to Score
Central EspañolDeportivo MaldonadoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Central EspañolDeportivo MaldonadoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Central EspañolDeportivo MaldonadoFirst Half Result
Central EspañolDeportivo MaldonadoCorrect Score
Central EspañolDeportivo Maldonado