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Cerro vs Wanderers

Cerro vs Wanderers 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 9)

Smash-and-grab

Wanderers won with less than half the chances

Cerro

0–2

Wanderers

1.4Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Cerro would usually take 2.0 points and Wanderers 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Wanderers.

Cerro −2.0 pts vs chancesWanderers +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cerro vs Wanderers stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Cerro had clearly more shots on target

Cerro

Wanderers

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Cerro and Wanderers ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Cerro win at 35% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Cerro vs Wanderers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cerro to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Wanderers to win.

Our model 35%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Cerro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cerro 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wanderers 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cerro vs Wanderers 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cerro vs Wanderers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Cerro0

Wanderers2

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Cerro0

Wanderers2

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

135%

X31%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	35%	65%	63%	37%	72%	28%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	63%	37%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	72%	28%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	71%	29%	91%	9%	97%	3%
	35%	65%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	71%	29%
	35%	65%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	97%	3%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

127%

X50%

224%

1st Score

145%

X11%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

20%

1-1

19%

2-2

18%

X-1

14%

X-2

14%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.1%

1-0

12.4%

0-1

11.6%

0-0

11.3%

1-2

7.5%

2-1

7.5%

2-0

6.9%

0-2

6.4%

2-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Cerro vs Wanderers — Recent Form

Wanderers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Cerro have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Wanderers

Cerro

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Wanderers

2/5

Cerro

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Wanderers

2/5

Cerro

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Wanderers

2/5

Cerro

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Wanderers

4/5

Cerro

4/5

First Half Result

Wanderers

3/5

Cerro

2/5

Correct Score

Wanderers

1/5

Cerro

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction