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Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Liverpool had more than twice the shots on target

Deportivo Maldonado

Liverpool

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Deportivo Maldonado win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Deportivo Maldonado prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Maldonado to win

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,085 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,703 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.6% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Deportivo Maldonado Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Maldonado 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,666 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Liverpool Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Deportivo Maldonado1

Liverpool1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

· FT

Primera Division - Uruguay

Deportivo Maldonado1

Liverpool1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

140%

X32%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	35%	65%	63%	37%	72%	28%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	63%	37%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	72%	28%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	30%	70%	66%	34%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	38%	62%	75%	25%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	66%	34%
	38%	62%	75%	25%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

126%

X52%

222%

1st Score

148%

X12%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

1-1

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.8%

1-0

13.1%

0-0

11.5%

0-1

10.4%

2-1

8.3%

2-0

8.0%

1-2

6.2%

0-2

5.0%

2-2

4.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool — Recent Form

Liverpool have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Deportivo Maldonado have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Liverpool

Deportivo Maldonado

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Liverpool

2/5

Deportivo Maldonado

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Liverpool

2/5

Deportivo Maldonado

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Liverpool

3/5

Deportivo Maldonado

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Liverpool

4/5

Deportivo Maldonado

4/5

First Half Result

Liverpool

2/5

Deportivo Maldonado

2/5

Correct Score

Liverpool

1/5

Deportivo Maldonado

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Albion – Deportivo Maldonado prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).