1. Internacional vs Botafogo

Internacional vs Botafogo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 32)

Unlucky

Botafogo are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−6points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Botafogo 25% to winInternacional 48%

Internacional vs Botafogo score prediction

Serie A

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.7 goals in total, in line with the Serie A average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Internacional vs Botafogo: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Internacional vs Botafogo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Internacional to win

Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 76%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 47%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Internacional Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Internacional 0–1 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Botafogo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Botafogo 0–1 goals

Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Internacional vs Botafogo — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Internacional vs Botafogo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

InternacionalInternacional–
BotafogoBotafogo–

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

148%
X27%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Internacional23%77%56%44%
Botafogo39%61%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Internacional82%18%94%6%
Botafogo92%8%98%2%

1st Half

133%
X47%
221%

1st Score

157%
X8%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

19%

X-X

16%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

12.2%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

8.5%

0-0

8.1%

0-1

7.8%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

4.4%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Internacional vs Botafogo: the stats that stand out

Serie A

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Botafogo: slow starters · Internacional: shot-shy and flop as favourites

Slow starters
Botafogo2/10

Botafogo scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Shot-shy
Internacional4/10

Internacional failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 25%).

Flop as favourites
Internacional2/6

Internacional won only 2 of 6 as favourites (league 54%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Internacional vs Botafogo: attack vs defence

Serie A

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Serie A teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • InternacionalInternacional: weak attack, good defence (1.22 xG, 1.48 xGA a game)
  • BotafogoBotafogo: good attack, good defence (1.68 xG, 1.45 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Internacional vs Botafogo form and luck check

Serie A

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie A games

Botafogo are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Internacional
    InternacionalBookmakers: 48% to win today.
    −1.9
  • Botafogo
    BotafogoBookmakers: 25% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals
    −5.9

Last 5 matches

BotafogoBotafogo
W
D
L
L
W
11th in table
InternacionalInternacional
L
D
W
L
W
17th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Internacional 14th of 20 · Botafogo 10th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Internacional vs Botafogo: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Serie A

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie A gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Internacional and Botafogo games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Serie A average (52%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Internacional4 of 10
Botafogo4 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Internacional6 of 10
Botafogo5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 404 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Internacional vs Botafogo corners, cards and goal times

Serie A

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Serie A average

Internacional

Botafogo

3.7

Corners won · league 5.2

5.5

5.0

Corners conceded · league 5.2

6.0

3.7

Cards · league 2.5

2.0

3.1

Opponents' cards · league 2.5

1.5

50%

Goals before half-time · league 44%

33%

20%

Goals after 75' · league 23%

33%

62%

Conceded before half-time · league 44%

67%

23%

Conceded after 75' · league 23%

27%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

InternacionalInternacional
3/5
BotafogoBotafogo
3/5

Both Teams to Score

InternacionalInternacional
4/5
BotafogoBotafogo
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

InternacionalInternacional
3/5
BotafogoBotafogo
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

InternacionalInternacional
5/5
BotafogoBotafogo
4/5

First Half Result

InternacionalInternacional
2/5
BotafogoBotafogo
3/5

Correct Score

InternacionalInternacional
2/5
BotafogoBotafogo
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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