Mirassol vs Grêmio 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 19)

The match between Mirassol and Grêmio ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Mirassol win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grêmio – São Paulo prediction & betting tips (Aug 8, 2026).

Mirassol vs Grêmio — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 19 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

45.9% implied

Grêmio60%12/20+30.7%Strongly above implied probability
Mirassol55%11/20+19.8%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.6% implied

Grêmio75%15/20+37.4%Strongly above implied probability
Mirassol70%14/20+28.2%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

Grêmio60%12/20+10.1%Strongly above implied probability
Mirassol55%11/20+0.9%Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.6% implied

Grêmio85%17/20+40.3%Strongly above implied probability
Mirassol75%15/20+23.8%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.8% implied

Grêmio55%11/20+41.8%Strongly above implied probability
Mirassol35%7/20-9.8%Near implied probability
Grêmio20%4/20
Mirassol25%5/20

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Mirassol and Grêmio across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 55% accuracy — that's 41.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.8%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Mirassol sit 9.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Mirassol vs Grêmio 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mirassol vs Grêmio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MirassolMirassol2
GrêmioGrêmio1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

146%
X28%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mirassol26%74%60%40%
Grêmio40%60%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mirassol84%16%95%5%
Grêmio93%7%98%2%

1st Half

136%
X45%
219%

1st Score

156%
X10%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

20%

X-1

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

1-0

13.1%

0-0

9.6%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

8.7%

2-0

8.6%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

4.5%

3-0

4.0%

0-2

4.0%

3-1

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mirassol vs Grêmio — Prediction Form & Streaks

Mirassol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Grêmio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Mirassol well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
0 in a row
MirassolMirassol
1 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
1 in a row
MirassolMirassol
2 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
1 in a row
MirassolMirassol
2 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
2 in a row
MirassolMirassol
5 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
1 in a row
MirassolMirassol
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
1 in a row
MirassolMirassol
0 in a row

Mirassol & Grêmio Teams in Best Form

MirassolMirassol
W
D
W
L
W
GrêmioGrêmio
D
L
L
W
D
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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