1. Remo vs Grêmio

Remo vs Grêmio 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 29)

Fair result
RemoRemo

1–1

GrêmioGrêmio
2.3Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Remo would usually take 1.5 points and Grêmio 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Remo.

Remo −0.5 pts vs chancesGrêmio −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Remo vs Grêmio stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Remo had clearly more shots on target

Remo

Grêmio

9

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

6

10

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

4

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Remo and Grêmio ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Remo win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grêmio – Cruzeiro prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Remo vs Grêmio — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Remo to win

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Remo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Remo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Grêmio Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grêmio 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Remo vs Grêmio 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Remo vs Grêmio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
RemoRemo1
GrêmioGrêmio1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

141%
X27%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Remo28%72%63%37%
Grêmio35%65%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Remo86%15%96%4%
Grêmio90%10%97%3%

1st Half

128%
X51%
221%

1st Score

151%
X9%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

20%

X-X

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

15%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

11.1%

0-1

9.7%

2-1

8.8%

0-0

8.7%

1-2

7.8%

2-0

7.2%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

5.1%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Remo vs Grêmio — Recent Form

Grêmio have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table. Remo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Last 5 matches

GrêmioGrêmio
D
D
D
L
L
RemoRemo
D
D
L
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

GrêmioGrêmio
1/5
RemoRemo
3/5

Both Teams to Score

GrêmioGrêmio
3/5
RemoRemo
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

GrêmioGrêmio
3/5
RemoRemo
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

GrêmioGrêmio
4/5
RemoRemo
5/5

First Half Result

GrêmioGrêmio
2/5
RemoRemo
3/5

Correct Score

GrêmioGrêmio
2/5
RemoRemo
2/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grêmio – Cruzeiro prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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